Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Case Shiller: Good News and Bad News



First, the good news:


The rate of decline on a YOY basis is now very close to 0. That is good news. BUT




The month to month number has stalled out. From here, a sideways move wouldn't be a bad thing - in fact, I would personally not mind a bit. However, a sideways move can easily change into a downward move which is my biggest fear.



Compounding the problems with the last report is the above chart which shows that only two cities saw a month to month increase in housing prices. That adds further problems to the housing market -- problems we don't need right now.